Summary
This content was automatically synthesized by Credo's AI models directly from the original source text.
AI summaries can make mistakes — double-check important details against the original source.
1 Sample Definition And Size
The study was a retrospective cohort analysis using the MIMIC‑IV database (2008–2019). It included invasive mechanical ventilation (MV) episodes longer than 48 hours: 38,750 MV episodes were identified, of which 9,849 episodes (25.4%) involved 7,871 patients. Among these, 452 ventilator‑associated pneumonia (VAP) episodes occurred in 397 patients (4.1% of MV episodes >48 h). Most patients had one VAP episode; a few had multiple (up to four).
2 Study Type
Retrospective cohort study developing and internally validating a deep learning model (long short‑term memory neural network) for early VAP prediction, compared against traditional machine learning models (random forest, XGBoost, logistic regression).
3 Conflicts Of Interest
No conflicts of interest are declared in the article.
4 Results Summary
PREDICT achieved AUPRC values of 96.0%, 94.1%, and 94.7% for predicting VAP 6, 12, and 24 hours before onset, respectively. Sensitivity and positive predictive value (PPV) exceeded 85% across all horizons (e.g., sensitivity 89.7%, PPV 89.8% at 6 h; sensitivity 85.1%, specificity 99.2% at 24 h). AUROC was approximately 99% for all prediction windows. Calibration was strong, with Brier scores of 0.04 (6 h), 0.06 (12 h), and 0.10 (24 h). Integrated gradients analysis identified respiratory rate, SpO₂, and temperature as the most influential predictive features.
5 Doi
10.3390/jcm14103380
6 Full Text Open Access
true